Summary

• The Earth’s climate is always changing.
  
  • In the last 1000 years it has been both warmer (The Medieval Warm Period) and colder (The Little Ice Age) than it is today.
  • Over the last 100 years, the trend has been upwards, but temperature was decreasing from 1940-1975.
  • Temperature peaked in 1998 and then flatlined.  In 2008 the temperature begun to decline again.
• Despite the climate record, since the 1970’s there has been popular belief that the Earth’s climate is catastrophically changing, and that humans are to blame.
  
  • First there was the "global cooling" scare.
  • Then there was the "global warming" scare.
  • Now there is the "climate change" scare.
• When the evidence is examined, it is clear that the recent changes in the Earth’s climate are not catastrophic, and that they are caused by variations in solar activity, not human activity.
• The “climate crisis” is a myth, being perpetuated to enable world government.

Contents

- A Brief History of Climate Change
- A Brief History of Climate Change Debate
- Is Earth's climate catastrophically changing?
- 2008: The Year The Temperature Dropped
- Does hydrocarbon use correlate with temperature?
- Are human carbon emissions adding to the greenhouse effect?
- What is the effect of increased carbon dioxide?
- Summary
- The Green Agenda


A Brief History of Climate Change

Earth's climate and the biosphere have been in constant flux, dominated by ice ages and glaciers, for the past several million years.

Approximately every 100,000 years, Earth's climate warms up temporarily. These warm periods, called interglacial warm periods, appear to last approximately 15,000 to 20,000 years before regressing back to a cold ice age climate. We are currently 18,000 years into an interglacial warm period.

The ice ages and interglacial warm periods can be seen by looking at a history of how much ice was on the Earth:



The cycles are caused by the Earth's orbit and tilt:

• The 100,000 year cycle of glacial periods is due to variations in the shape of Earth's elliptical orbit.
• There is also a 41,000 year cycle corresponding to the cycle of the +/- 1.5° wobble in Earth's orbit.
• And there is a 21,000 year cycle corresponding to Earth's combined tilt and elliptical orbit around the Sun.

The landmass distribution (continental drift) also has an impact on climate.
Warming after the last ice age increased the distribution and diversity of life on Earth:





After the last ice age, the Earth warmed by more than 4 degrees C over a period of 9000 years. This warming enabled human civilization.

Since then, over the last 9000 years, temperature has stayed within a range of 2 degrees.

The hottest period of human history is known as the Holocene Maximum (5500BC-2000BC).



From about 1000-1350, Earth’s climate was warmer than it is today – this is known as the Medieval Warm Period.

From about 1400-1860, Earth’s climate was colder than it is today – this is known as the Little Ice Age.



The general trend of temperature over the last century is upward, as the Earth continues to recover from the Little Ice Age…

The period can be roughly divided into three phases:

• 1910-1940 – a phase of warming.
• 1940-1975 – a phase of cooling.
• 1975-2000 – a phase of warming.

Cycles of climate at this scale are caused by variations in solar output.  The Sun goes through various cycles, notably a cycle lasting approximately 206 years, and a cycle lasting 11 years. 

The effect of these cycles can be seen by comparing the 20th century temperature of Earth to the level of solar output.



There are also atmospheric causes of climate change, including:

• Heat retention - the "greenhouse effect" where heat is retained by water vapor and other "greenhouse gases" such as carbon dioxide and methane.
• Solar reflectivity, due to clouds, volcanic dust, and polar ice caps.

A Brief History of Climate Change Debate

With temperature decreasing during the post-war decades, there was a great global cooling scare.

In 1974, the BBC documentary “The Weather Machine” warned that there was a scientific consensus that Earth was heading into a new Ice Age.

The cause was said to be industrial pollution – blocking out the Sun’s rays and causing the Earth to cool.

The public were told that the Earth was in serious trouble, unless something is done about all the pollution.

"Earth's weather patterns have begun to change dramatically … The drop in food production could begin quite soon... The evidence in support of these predictions has now begun to accumulate so massively that meteorologist are hard-pressed to keep up with it." - Newsweek, April 28, (1975)

"This cooling has already killed hundreds of thousands of people. If it continues and no strong action is taken, it will cause world famine, world chaos and world war, and this could all come about before the year 2000." - Lowell Ponte "The Cooling", (1976)

"If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder by the year 2000...This is about twice what it would take to put us in an ice age." - Kenneth E.F. Watt on air pollution and global cooling, Earth Day (1970)

"In ten years all important animal life in the sea will be extinct. Large areas of coastline will have to be evacuated because of the stench of dead fish." - Paul Ehrlich, Earth Day (1970)

"I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000" - Paul Ehrlich in (1969)

"This [cooling] trend will reduce agricultural productivity for the rest of the century" - Peter Gwynne, Newsweek (1976)

Around 1975, the Earth stopped cooling, and began to warm up once again.

In the early 1980’s, politicians and the media started to discuss a new scientific theory – that the Earth was going to catastrophically heat up.

The cause for this global warming scare was said to be industrial pollution – principally carbon dioxide, via the “greenhouse effect”.

The view that carbon dioxide was causing the global warming was/is popular with…

• Politicians – for example, Margaret Thatcher funded research into global warming, asking them to ‘prove’ that carbon dioxide was to blame, in order to gain support for her aim of nuclear power and energy independence for the UK.
• The Media – stories of catastrophic climate predictions, and of weather phenomenon that can be attributed to global warming, are of far more interest than stories saying there is nothing to worry about. Fear sells.
• Scientists – not only are most scientists supported by governments (and dissenters have been stripped of funding), but scientific journals and magazines also do not publish views that may be opposed to the dominating political view.

By 1998, the environmental movement, which quickly chose to make activism in support of “stopping global warming” it’s central tenet, had become an extremely influential political movement. No politician could be popular unless he was seen as “green”.

The movement became so powerful that individuals creating a lot of carbon dioxide were denounced by society – those with big cars were regarded as “irresponsible” and "harming the environment".

The Kyoto Treaty (1997) established carbon dioxide targets for almost all nations. The United Nations, which created the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to study the issue, declared with 95% confidence that there was a climate crisis and that humans were to blame.

However, in 1998, the Earth stopped warming.



The fact that the Earth stopped warming in 1998 has not been widely publicized.

Climate has became an even hotter topic in the media and in the minds of the public. From 1998-2008, the movement in favor of limiting carbon dioxide emissions only gained more momentum, under the new mantra of “climate change”.

The global warming scare became a climate change scare.

Carbon dioxide would continue to blamed, but not for warming the climate, but for “changing” it. Suddenly hurricanes, typhoons, storms, tornadoes, tsunamis, floods, and droughts were all blamed on “climate change”, on human activity. Fears about rising sea levels, melting ice caps and stranded polar bears remain.

Globalist former U.S. Vice President Al Gore was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize and the Academy Award for Best Documentary in 2006 for his work publicizing climate change.

Almost all of the candidates in the 2008 U.S. Presidential race supported some kind of limits to carbon emissions, with many stating that a 80-90% reduction in emissions by 2050 should be the aim.


Is the Earth's climate catastrophically changing?



2008: The Year The Temperature Dropped

The Sun has now entered a new 11-year cycle and solar output has decreased significantly.  This has manifested itself in colder temperatures on Earth.

Arctic ice sheets had been predicted to disappear entirely in 2008, but they actually increased in size by 30%:



With the climate models and climate "experts" so thoroughly discredited by the facts, the myth that human beings are responsible for climate change started to crumble in 2008.

Regardless, the Obama Administration and governments throughout the world continue to push ahead with their green agendas, including carbon dioxide limits, carbon trading schemes and direct carbon taxes.


What about the Carbon Dioxide - Temperature correlation?

Large-scale changes in temperature are attributable to changes to Earth's orbit, tilt and landmass distribution.  Medium and short term variations in temperature are attributable to variations in solar activity.  Minor, small-scale and regional variations are attributable to atmospheric causes, including the greenhouse effect.

The idea that a greenhouse gas, carbon dioxide in particular, is a primary driver of Earth's climate - essential for the climate change myth - often stems from observing the close correlation between carbon dioxide levels and temperature over the long term:



But correlation is not causality.  In fact, we know that higher temperatures cause more carbon dioxide to be in the atmosphere. 

Carbon dioxide is a life-giving gas that has existed on the planet for billions of years, and most of it is contained within the oceans. When the temperature increases, more carbon dioxide is released from the oceans into the atmosphere.

This explains the correlation between temperature and carbon dioxide.

That increased temperatures cause increased levels of carbon dioxide is also clear when the ice-core record (used by Al Gore to demonstrate the correlation between the two) is examined more closely…



There is approximately an 800-year lag; this is because the oceans take that long to heat up, because of their enormous size.

Since an effect can only follow a cause, not precede it, changes in the carbon dioxide levels cannot be causing long-term temperature changes.

Changes in temperature cause changes in carbon dioxide levels.


Does hydrocarbon use correlate with temperature?

We have seen the close correlation between temperatures in the 20th century and variations in solar output.




The post-war boom in hydrocarbon use was accompanied by falling temperatures. 

Glaciers started retreating, and sea levels started rising, as the Earth started warming out of the Little Ice Age, before the beginning of industry.  Glaciers have continued receding at a similar rate despite hydrocarbon use…



Are human carbon emissions adding to the greenhouse effect?

Greenhouse gases in Earth's atmosphere are essential for heat retention.  But changes in the levels of greenhouse gases does not appear to cause temperature changes.  This can be seen by the historical record that greenhouse gases increase when temperature increases, but do not cause a strong positive feedback that would cause temperatures to increase indefinitely.  Stronger factors keep the temperature of the Earth within a narrow range, particularly over the short term.

It is true that human use of hydrocarbons has increased the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere:



However, this human addition of carbon dioxide has only had a very small effect on the levels of greenhouse gases in the air.  The most important greenhouse gas by far is water vapor, and other natural factors such as ocean biologic activity, volcanoes, decaying plants and animal activity contribute more to the greenhouse effect than human activity.



Eliminating all human activity would have little impact on the greenhouse effect.

Furthermore, carbon dioxide makes up less than half of the human additions.  Other gases like methane and nitrous oxides have a bigger combined effect than carbon dioxide.


What is the effect of more carbon dioxide?

Carbon dioxide gives life to plants.  Increased levels of carbon dioxide make the Earth more bountiful.




Summary

• Carbon dioxide increases are beneficial for life on the planet.
  
• Carbon dioxide levels have a negligible effect on the greenhouse effect.
  
• The greenhouse effect has a negligible effect on the temperature of the Earth.
  
• There is no evidence that the Earth is changing catastrophically.

The Green Agenda

Using the myth that human carbon emissions are responsible for catastrophic climate change, "green agendas" are being drawn up by governments in countries throughout the world.

The green agenda includes carbon limits, carbon trading schemes, and carbon taxes.  It is being orchestrated at the global level.  The fake climate crisis is being used to justify the breaking down of national boundaries and the creation of open world government.

It is a classic example of the use of Problem-Reaction-Solution.  Government labels something as a crisis, a problem.  It then incites via the media a reaction from the public, demanding that something be done about the problem.  Then government presents its solution which involves massively increasing government power.

Unable to see that the problem has been manufactured, the public willingly accepts - even demands - that their liberties be taken away in exchange for government promises of security.

“In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill” - The First Global Revolution (1991), a report published by the Club of Rome.

Images on this page are from

• Environmental Effects of Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide - Global Warming Review paper by the Petition Project
• Global Warming: A Chilling Perspective Paper by Monte Hieb, Geocraft.com
• The Great Global Warming Swindle by Martin Durkin (2006)
• Evidence Doesn't Bare Out Alarmist Claims of Global Warming by Andrew Bolt
  
• An Inconvenient Truth by Al Gore
• NASA