Government cannot create wealth; it can only transfer
it. For every dollar spent by the
government, a dollar is taken from private individuals using force, commonly
known as taxation. Wealth is effectively
stolen from taxpayers, and transferred to government bureaucrats and the
recipients of government spending.
When analysing effects of government spending, we
must always keep in mind both sides of the equation; we must not forget that all spending must ultimately come from the
proceeds of taxation. Whether the
government raises tax rates, borrows money, or inflates the money supply, for
every dollar the government spends, a dollar must, either immediately or
eventually, be taken from taxpayers.
Let us illustrate this with an example:
First let us consider a useless government project: a
$1 million “bridge-to-nowhere” which will be of no value to anyone. The $1million must come from the proceeds of
taxation; it must be stolen from taxpayers.
Suppose there are 10million taxpayers.
On average, each individual is 10c poorer because of the government
action.
What would each taxpayer have done with his 10c? He would either save it, or spend it on
consumption. Either way, what each
individual does with their 10c is determined by their own preferences. The structure of production will adjust to
satisfy the extra demand generated by the extra 10c that each individual has. If all individuals would have spent their 10c
on consumption, this would represent a change in time-preferences, in favour of
present goods. If all individuals save
their 10c, this would also represent a change in time-preferences, in favour of
future goods.
For simplicity, suppose that, with their additional
10c each, each taxpayer would have clubbed together to build themselves a
useful bridge across a river between two towns.
(Equivalently, suppose that an entrepreneur who would have embarked upon
the building of the useful bridge now will not, because without the 10c in each
individual’s pocket, the venture would no longer be profitable.)
The most obvious effect of this government action is
that the useful bridge will now not be built and consumers will be that much
worse off. Even in this case, the
utility of the consumers is reduced. However,
there is no distortion to the structure of production here in terms of types of
industry; no new jobs in the bridge-building industry have been created, they
are simply moved from one location to another.
If the same bridge-builders that would have built the
useful bridge will now be building the useless bridge, they clearly do not benefit
at all; they are simply working in a different location. The only distortion to the structure of
production here is geographical; businesses in the area of the useless bridge
benefit from the consumption spending of the bridge-builders, at the expense of
the businesses in the area of the useful bridge, where the bridge-builders
would otherwise have spent their money.
If it will be a different group of bridge-builders building the useless
bridge as would have built the useful bridge, then one group of bridge-builders
will gain employment while another group of bridge-builders will lose
employment, representing a further geographical distortion.
A more realistic scenario is that each individual
would have spent his 10c in a different industry, and it would not be another
bridge that must be foregone. Because of
the taxation, there will be slightly less demand for thousands of different
products. Each taxpayer is slightly
worse off through not being able to satisfy his marginal ends. Fewer goods will be produced and society as a
whole will be that much poorer.
In this scenario, the structure of production has
been distorted from useful industries and into bridge-building. New jobs in the bridge-building industry have
been created, but only at the expense of jobs in other industries, which, by
definition, would better satisfy consumers’ needs. Potential technological progress in the
useful industries is foregone, and skills and knowledge in those industries may
decline.
After the bridge has been built, demand for bridges
returns to being genuine consumer demand.
If the bridge-industry gained by the government spending, it will now
lose the same amount back into the structure of production geared to satisfying
consumer demand. The temporary
distortion of the structure of production delays technological process, wastes
resources, lowers productivity and causes disruptions to employment. The bridge itself is of no benefit to
society, so producing it was a pure loss.
No one has benefited in the long-term from the bridge coming into
existence.
Now consider a potentially more useful government
project: say, a beautiful water fountain in the middle of a city. The fountain costs $1million. All the same temporary disruptions and
distortions to the economy take place as with the bridge-to-nowhere. The same $1 million is taken from taxpayers
to pay for the fountain as it was to pay for the bridge. The same $1 million-worth of useful goods and
services will now never come into being.
But this time, something useful has come out of the
spending; many individuals enjoy seeing the fountain. Some would have paid 10c to see the
fountain. But overall, $1million would
not have been given up by people to see it, or else it would have built already
by an entrepreneur, charging admission.
Even if 900,000 people were prepared to pay 10c to see the fountain,
this would still represent a waste of resources. 100,000 people would have had 10c stolen from
them and got nothing in return. As well
as being unjust, the decision to support the building of the fountain by the
government – even though it would have been supported by a majority – is a
waste of resources and worsens the structure of production. The measure of whether a project is a good
use of resources is whether it is profitable or not. If a business were profitable, it would not
need to be done by government.
So even an apparently useful government project like
a fountain, by definition, lowers consumers’ satisfaction below what it
otherwise would have been.
When analyzing the effects of government spending, we
need to consider both the direct and indirect effects of the spending as well
as the effects of taxation. Now we shall
consider the effects of spending and taxation separately.