Whatever way the government spends money, it will
always decrease satisfaction from what it would have been had the money not
been taxed in the first place. We shall
now analyze the effects of different types of spending.
Government spending is often justified in one of the
following ways:
We shall see that none of these justifications stands
up to scrutiny.
A fundamental fallacy of mainstream economics is the
belief that a more efficient way of doing things destroys jobs, and a less
efficient way of doing it creates them.
Allied to this fallacy is the belief that there is only so much work to
be done. On the contrary, so long as
there exists some unsatisfied human needs and wants, there is work to be done
in providing for them. These two beliefs
lead to support for government projects and laws for spreading the “available
work” among as many people as possible.
One supposed way to spread and maintain jobs is to
slow technological progress. Machines
and computers are not installed for fear that they destroy jobs. While they may do so temporarily, in fact
machines do not destroy jobs at all in the longer-term. Labor is freed up from laborious tasks and is
available for other types of work, and productivity is increased. If an entire industry becomes obsolete, the
workers will quickly be absorbed into other industries where their labor is producing
things that consumers want more.
Entrepreneurs are encouraged, by their pursuit of the profits that could
be made using the cheap labor pool, to set up businesses to employ the
newly-unemployed workers; competition quickly bids up wages to normal levels
again.
Another way is to artificially increase the division
of labor, demanding that each worker strictly stick to his designated
tasks. Laws are passed demanding that
bricklayers cannot lay stones for chimneys; that is the work of the
stonemason. A plumber cannot tile a
bathroom; that is the work of a tilesetter.
This way jobs are maintained, but efficiency and productivity are
obviously decreased. Labor resources are
wasted.
Yet another way is to limit the number of hours that
comprise a working week. This
artificially increases individuals’ leisure time and again lowers productivity.
Consider the example of a shortening of
the working week from 40 hours to 30 hours.
Either:
(a) pay is maintained at the same hourly rate and there
is a decrease in total wages, or
(b) hourly pay is increased to keep total wages at the
same level.
In case (a) new jobs will initially be created. Even if we assume that each industry increases
jobs by the same percentage (i.e. no distortion to the structure of production),
and the new workers are no less efficient than the old ones (i.e. no decrease
in productivity), there will be no net increase in man-hours, so productivity
will not increase. All that will happen
is that the old workers, now receiving less overall pay than before, are
effectively subsidizing the new workers, against their wishes. More likely, however, is that the new workers
would be less efficient than the old workers (a decrease in productivity) and
not all industries will be affected equally by the law, so there will be a
distortion of the economy away from where it is best organized for satisfying
consumer needs.
The law will artificially distort individuals’ preferences
for leisure over the fruits of labor. On
the free market, working hours will be determined by individual preferences,
but with maximum working-hours law, leisure is effectively forced upon
them. With a maximum working-hours law,
overall productivity and growth will decrease below what individual’s were
willing to work for. Labor is wasted on
unwanted leisure.
In case (b), if hourly pay is forced to rise by 1/3
to account for the decrease in working hours so that total wages stays the
same, clearly there is an artificial increase in production costs, and a
subsequent lowering of productivity.
Employers will go out of business and many more jobs are lost than would
have been created. There will also be
distortion to the structure of production.
Government spending cannot increase jobs in the
long-term, but it actually cannot even increase jobs in the short-term, when we
recall that all spending must come from taxation. For every job “created” by the government, a
private sector job will be lost, because the taxation lowers overall demand
from consumers. Government spending only
changes the types of jobs that people do; jobs will created in the industries
favored by the government and lost in those that serve the demands of
consumers.
It is sometimes argued that governments must maintain
the size of their bureaucracies and service personnel rather than put people
out of work. For example, at the end of
a war, where will all the soldiers find jobs?
The answer is that they will no longer be employed by the government, so
the government no longer has to tax the citizens to pay them. The amount of money the taxpayers have
increases and their subsequent increase in demand for goods and services soon
stimulates new jobs to be created for the unemployed ex-soldiers. Furthermore, they are now supporting
themselves through their own productivity, rather than being parasites to
society, supported by taxpayers and producing nothing. In this way, overall productivity and
satisfaction goes up.
This is a specific case of the more general case of
population increases. It is argued that
population increase – whether through increasing birth-rates, decreasing
death-rates or immigration - is bad because there are no jobs for the new
people to do. This overlooks that there
will also be new demand from the new people, and this will create the extra
jobs. If unemployment is high, then
supply of labor is high and therefore the price of labor (wages) will be
lowered. This will make new businesses
viable and reduce unemployment.
Mainstream economists have a fetish for “full
employment”, believing that to be the ultimate goal of government policy. But there will always be unemployment. There will be those who do not wish to work,
and there will always be people transitioning between jobs. Jobs are lost and gained as the market
adjusts for changes in demand and changes in the supply of labor. Government price controls – as we shall see –
always lead to shortages and surpluses.
Minimum wage laws are a labor price control. They create a surplus of labor:
unemployment. Other government actions –
like income taxes, welfare spending, and regulations – also create unemployment
which would not exist on a free market.
It would be easy for the government to ensure full
employment – simply employ everybody itself.
The government could simply pay everyone an hourly wage for some nominal
task; it could pay people to dig holes in the ground, or to sunbathe in their
gardens for some set hours per day.
Clearly this would mean that nothing ever gets produced, and everyone
would be far worse off, even though everyone is “employed”.
This underlines why it is productivity, not
employment, that should be the ultimate end for the government-hired
economist. It is true that we cannot
have continuous full productivity without full employment. However, we can very easily have full
employment without full productivity.
Primitive tribes do not suffer from unemployment; the difference between
them and modern nations is in their productivity. The whole progress of mankind has been to
increase productivity; that is, to get the best results from the minimum amount
effort. Because of greater productivity, employment
can be reduced – for example, working hours can be lower, children don’t have
to work, and people can retire at a younger age. The goal of economists should be finding the
way that increases productivity; full employment is but a means to this end,
not an end in itself.
Lobbyists and unions often ask the government to bail
out their industry, via some form of intervention (grants, loans, subsidies,
price controls, tariffs, etc), on the basis that a large number of jobs will be
lost if the industry is left to bankruptcy.
We have already seen that a sudden loss of jobs will not create anything
more than temporary unemployment, because the market process will ensure they
are absorbed back into the structure of production. Furthermore, they will now be doing jobs that
are more useful to consumers. If a major employer, such as General Motors, is
bailed out by the government instead of being allowed to fail, then capital,
land and labor will be being wasted by continuing to be used by GM, who are
evidently not using it in the best way to satisfy consumer needs. If GM is allowed to fail, then that capital,
land and labor would be put to better use. Thus we see the importance that government
allows industries to fail and does not interfere with the free market process
of bankruptcy.